Pontevedra 3-1 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Pontevedra win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.64/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.77
+35% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Coruxo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 0-2 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
20.03.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-2 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
31.10.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-1 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
14.03.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 2-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS3
13.12.2020 Coruxo Coruxo 3-0 HT 2-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
12.01.2020 Coruxo Coruxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
3-1
AWAY Coruxo
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra got the better of Coruxo 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 57% of the ball to Coruxo's 43%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pontevedra and 1.00 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Coruxo?

Pontevedra 3-1 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 59%, draw 25%, Coruxo 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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