Lleida Esportiu 3-0 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.83/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.71
+9% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-3 HT 1-3 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
08.10.2023 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 3-2 HT 1-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
12.02.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
25.09.2022 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
17.04.2022 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-1 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
28.11.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 0-1 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lleida Esportiu
3-0
AWAY Pena Deportiva
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu ran out comfortable winners over Pena Deportiva 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lleida Esportiu as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 50% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lleida Esportiu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.00 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Pena Deportiva?

Lleida Esportiu 3-0 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 47%, draw 27%, Pena Deportiva 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lleida Esportiu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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