Real Aviles 0-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.50/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.52
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-1D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
03.09.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
0-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril beat Real Aviles 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; RC Deportivo Fabril found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Aviles had 45% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 55%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, RC Deportivo Fabril led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Aviles and 1.50 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Real Aviles 0-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 40%, draw 31%, RC Deportivo Fabril 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Aviles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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