Utebo vs Izarra Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utebo v Izarra — Team-Based Signals
Utebo vs Izarra Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Utebo
İS4
0-2
HT 0-1
Utebo
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Izarra
İS4
Utebo 4-1 Izarra — Actual Match Statistics
Utebo cruised past Izarra 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Utebo had 62% of the ball to Izarra's 38%, shots finished 17-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utebo and 0.25 for Izarra.
What was the final score of Utebo vs Izarra?
Utebo 4-1 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utebo vs Izarra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Utebo 53%, draw 26%, Izarra 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.