Utebo vs Izarra Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utebo v Izarra — Team-Based Signals
Utebo vs Izarra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Utebo
İS4
0-2
HT 0-1
Utebo
İS4
1-0
HT 0-0
Izarra
İS4
Utebo 1-0 Izarra — Actual Match Statistics
Utebo nicked a narrow win over Izarra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Utebo had 58% of the ball to Izarra's 42%, shots finished 13-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Utebo and 0.33 for Izarra.
What was the final score of Utebo vs Izarra?
Utebo 1-0 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utebo vs Izarra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Utebo 53%, draw 24%, Izarra 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.