Sion 4-2 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

Sion
4-2 HT 2-0
Luzern
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.64
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
16%
4.24
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
10%
4.02
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.31/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.33
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
19.2 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
22.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion HAZ
25.05.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
02.04.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
15.10.2022 Sion Sion 2-0 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
27.08.2022 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
4-2
AWAY Luzern
1.84 xG 0.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
298 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion got the better of Luzern 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Sion made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 49% of the ball to Luzern's 51%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.84 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sion and 1.33 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Sion vs Luzern?

Sion 4-2 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sion 38%, draw 32%, Luzern 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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