Young Boys 2-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.38
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
11%
5.97
X/X
14%
4.7
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
18%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.35/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.22
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
25.9 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lugano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
11.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
10.02.2024 Lugano Lugano 3-3 HT 1-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
29.10.2023 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
24.09.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 4-1 HT 3-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
04.06.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-2 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
2-1
AWAY Lugano
2.71 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
252 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys nicked a narrow win over Lugano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Young Boys made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Young Boys had 41% of the ball to Lugano's 59%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.71 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Young Boys and 1.67 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Lugano?

Young Boys 2-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 35%, draw 30%, Lugano 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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