Orlando City 1-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 31% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.0
X/1
18%
4.17
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
9%
6.52
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.77/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.37
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.6 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
400 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
28.10.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
19.09.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
20.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.08.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
10.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
1-1
AWAY Charlotte
2.53 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
436 Passes 295
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 13
44 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City and Charlotte shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orlando City had 60% of the ball to Charlotte's 40%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.53 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orlando City and 0.67 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Charlotte?

Orlando City 1-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 47%, draw 30%, Charlotte 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orlando City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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