Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+58% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
2-3
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) edged past Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 47% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nojima Stella (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 2.00 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-3 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 46%, draw 26%, Nojima Stella (K) 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
10 Nov 2024
05:30 JEF United (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Analysis →
06:00 AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) Analysis →