Freiburg (K) 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 10 Nov 2025

📅10/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
28%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.81/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.80
-16% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.0 Crosses 16.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.52 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 245
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2025 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
14.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
31.08.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
10.03.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-1
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.37 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
245 Passes 349
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 42
18 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) nicked a narrow win over Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 42% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 58%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 1.37 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Freiburg (K) and 1.75 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 31%, draw 19%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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