Independiente Petrolero 3-2 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +1%
1.63/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.8 Crosses 14.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
207 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.03.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
04.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3-2
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.51 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
306 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero squeezed past Universitario de Vinto 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 53% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 47%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.51 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.00 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Independiente Petrolero 3-2 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 42%, draw 29%, Universitario de Vinto 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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