Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aurora v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Aurora vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Aurora 2-1 Malacateco — Actual Match Statistics
Aurora edged past Malacateco 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Aurora had 53% of the ball to Malacateco's 47%, shots finished 8-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aurora and 0.67 for Malacateco.
What was the final score of Aurora vs Malacateco?
Aurora 2-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aurora vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aurora 59%, draw 22%, Malacateco 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.