Genk U19 2-2 HJK U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk U19 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY HJK U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2025 HJK U19 HJK U19 1-0 HT 1-0 Genk U19 Genk U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk U19
2-2
AWAY HJK U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk U19 vs HJK U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk U19 and HJK U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Genk U19 at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Genk U19 had 48% of the ball to HJK U19's 52%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Genk U19 vs HJK U19?

Genk U19 2-2 HJK U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk U19 vs HJK U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Genk U19 61%, draw 23%, HJK U19 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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