Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 Slough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
15%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Slough Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.26/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.50
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slough Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Slough Town Slough Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
19.12.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.04.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
08.10.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
18.04.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
11.12.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town ran out comfortable winners over Slough Town 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slough Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.17 for Slough Town.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town?

Hemel Hempstead Town 4-1 Slough Town in the England - Conference on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Slough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 33%, draw 23%, Slough Town 45%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slough Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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