Kelty Hearts 0-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.24/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.82
-21% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
148 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 127 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
26.10.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.08.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
26.03.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.03.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
20.11.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
28.08.2021 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts and Stenhousemuir fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kelty Hearts and 0.50 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?

Kelty Hearts 0-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 36%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
11 Jan 2025
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