Alloa Athletic 1-1 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.98
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
7%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 35% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.69/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.37
+12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Queen Of The South
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
09.11.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
03.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
23.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
13.01.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
11.11.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.08.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-4 HT 2-4 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic and Queen Of The South couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.17 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South?

Alloa Athletic 1-1 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 38%, draw 33%, Queen Of The South 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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