Basingstoke Town 2-0 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.3pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.68
-20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Winchester City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 2-4 HT 1-3 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
27.01.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 2-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town saw off Winchester City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basingstoke Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Winchester City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Basingstoke Town and 2.00 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Winchester City?

Basingstoke Town 2-0 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 42%, draw 26%, Winchester City 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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