Merthyr Town 0-0 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +27%
2.60/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.63
+50% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dorchester Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
16.11.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 3-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town FAK
05.08.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
25.03.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
25.10.2022 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town and Dorchester Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Merthyr Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.83 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Dorchester Town?

Merthyr Town 0-0 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 51%, draw 28%, Dorchester Town 21%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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