Dorchester Town 2-2 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
39%
-10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.66/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.52
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Merthyr Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
20.01.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 3-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town FAK
05.08.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
25.03.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
25.10.2022 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town and Merthyr Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorchester Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dorchester Town and 2.33 for Merthyr Town.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town?

Dorchester Town 2-2 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 45%, draw 26%, Merthyr Town 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorchester Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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