Plymouth Parkway 2-3 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.89/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.07
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-2 HT 1-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
07.04.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-1 HT 3-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
09.03.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
05.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine edged past Plymouth Parkway 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Parkway at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 2.00 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Swindon Supermarine?

Plymouth Parkway 2-3 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 44%, draw 28%, Swindon Supermarine 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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