Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
2.27/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.46
+31% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-1 HT 3-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
09.03.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
05.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine and Plymouth Parkway shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Supermarine at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 1.50 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Plymouth Parkway?

Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 52%, draw 23%, Plymouth Parkway 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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