Albacete 2-2 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
21%
5.04
X/2
8%
6.37
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.49
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +32%
1.55/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.36
-10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.8 Crosses 12.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
286 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
18.02.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
23.09.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
08.04.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-1 HT 3-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.11.2022 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
27.06.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-2
AWAY Racing Santander
1.86 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Racing Santander shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Albacete had 45% of the ball to Racing Santander's 55%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.86 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Albacete and 1.50 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Racing Santander?

Albacete 2-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Albacete 45%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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