Real Oviedo 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.69
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.01
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.27
X/2
8%
7.25
X/X
13%
3.5
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
6.35
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.25/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.40
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.2 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.65 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.09.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-1 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
10.02.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
09.09.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
13.05.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.12.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
16.04.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.65 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 281
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Sporting Gijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 47% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?

Real Oviedo 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 43%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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