Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2025

Malaga
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo La Coruna
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
16%
5.61
X/X
15%
3.69
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.29
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.22/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.67
-27% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.5 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
292 Passes 340
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
08.07.2020 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
20.10.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 HT 0-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
15.06.2019 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
12.06.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-2 HT 1-2 Malaga Malaga İS2
24.02.2019 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2

Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.97 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Malaga had 54% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.97 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malaga and 0.83 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Malaga 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malaga 39%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Coruna 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malaga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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