Racing Ferrol 0-0 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.26
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.6
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
14%
3.9
X/2
13%
8.31
X/X
19%
3.83
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
7%
7.44
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.57
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
32.1 Crosses 17.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cartagena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
400 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
09.03.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
08.10.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
0-0
AWAY Cartagena
0.76 xG 0.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
389 Passes 224
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Cartagena fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 61% of the ball to Cartagena's 39%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 0.76 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.00 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Cartagena?

Racing Ferrol 0-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 41%, draw 31%, Cartagena 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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