Al Thaid 1-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.28/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.02
-21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
11.11.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAECK
29.01.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
18.09.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
16.04.2022 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
31.12.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid and Al Jazira Al Hamra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Thaid at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Al Hamra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Thaid and 2.50 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Al Thaid 1-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 46%, draw 24%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Thaid), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Thaid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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