Al Sharjah 1-0 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.67
-8% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
15.8 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
368 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-1 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
17.08.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
20.05.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
15.12.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.02.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
16.12.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
1-0
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.06 xG 0.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
381 Passes 172
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah edged past Khorfakkan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 65% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 35%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.06 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Sharjah and 0.83 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan?

Al Sharjah 1-0 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 54%, draw 26%, Khorfakkan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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