Maniema Union 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.48
1/2
4%
32.5
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
11%
8.41
X/2
20%
4.0
X/X
19%
3.71
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.63
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maniema Union EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+95% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maniema Union
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.71 xG 1.29
23% Ball Possession 77%
8 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
120 Passes 598
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Maniema Union CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maniema Union
1-2
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.25 xG 1.31
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
182 Passes 361
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maniema Union vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns squeezed past Maniema Union 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maniema Union had 39% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 61%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.25 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Maniema Union vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Maniema Union 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maniema Union vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maniema Union 29%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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