Stade d Abidjan 1-3 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
43%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.65
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
13.45
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
22.55
X/1
8%
13.9
X/2
10%
3.29
X/X
15%
4.61
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.9
2/X
6%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.4pp
43%
Away Win
63%
-19.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.0pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade d Abidjan EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 67%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade d Abidjan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahly
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.84 xG 3.15
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
280 Passes 499
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-2 HT 3-1 Stade d Abidjan Stade d Abidjan CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade d Abidjan
1-3
AWAY Al Ahly
0.76 xG 3.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 1
264 Passes 428
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade d Abidjan vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly beat Stade d Abidjan 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade d Abidjan had 44% of the ball to Al Ahly's 56%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 0.76 to 3.41.

What was the final score of Stade d Abidjan vs Al Ahly?

Stade d Abidjan 1-3 Al Ahly in the CAF Champions League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade d Abidjan vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade d Abidjan 26%, draw 31%, Al Ahly 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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