Sagrada Esperança 0-1 Pyramids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
13%
9.67
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
19.2
X/1
11%
10.4
X/2
17%
3.53
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.2
2/X
5%
18.0
Value flag · 1/1 at 9.67 — our 13% vs market 6.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-10.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagrada Esperança EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyramids EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagrada Esperança
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pyramids
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
2.58 xG 3.64
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
246 Passes 462
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 48
15 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 5-1 HT 1-0 Sagrada Esperança Sagrada Esperança CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagrada Esperança
0-1
AWAY Pyramids
0.32 xG 0.77
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
187 Passes 460
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagrada Esperança vs Pyramids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids nicked a narrow win over Sagrada Esperança 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sagrada Esperança had 33% of the ball to Pyramids's 67%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.32 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Sagrada Esperança vs Pyramids?

Sagrada Esperança 0-1 Pyramids in the CAF Champions League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagrada Esperança vs Pyramids?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sagrada Esperança 29%, draw 25%, Pyramids 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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