Nakhon Ratchasima 0-3 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.01/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.39
-3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.9 Crosses 14.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.89
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
114 Passes 306
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 0
18.08.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-2 HT 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0-3
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
0.76 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
382 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom cruised past Nakhon Ratchasima 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nakhon Ratchasima at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 58% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.76 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Nakhon Pathom?

Nakhon Ratchasima 0-3 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 45%, draw 26%, Nakhon Pathom 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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