Sukhothai 1-0 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.51/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.53
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
27.3 Crosses 18.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.73 xG 1.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
224 Passes 342
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 1-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
19.05.2024 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 5-1 HT 3-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
23.12.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-3 HT 2-2 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
29.01.2023 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 2-1 HT 2-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
27.08.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
1-0
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.68 xG 0.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
326 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai squeezed past Khonkaen Utd 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sukhothai as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sukhothai had 55% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 45%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sukhothai's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khonkaen Utd led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sukhothai and 2.20 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Khonkaen Utd?

Sukhothai 1-0 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 55%, draw 22%, Khonkaen Utd 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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