Lamphun Warrior vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lamphun Warrior v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals
Lamphun Warrior vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Lamphun Warrior
TAY
0-5
HT 0-2
Muang Thong United
TAY
Lamphun Warrior 1-5 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United cruised past Lamphun Warrior 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 60% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 40%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.20 to 1.76 — on chances, Lamphun Warrior could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 2.75 for Muang Thong United.
What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Muang Thong United?
Lamphun Warrior 1-5 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Muang Thong United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 42%, draw 24%, Muang Thong United 34%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.