Leganes 3-0 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 39% vs market 35.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.86
X/2
11%
6.86
X/X
15%
3.78
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
11%
5.51
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.07
-29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.7 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Valladolid
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 406
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Leganes Leganes 3-0 HT 3-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
10.10.2024 Leganes Leganes 3-1 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
28.08.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
03.02.2024 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
17.11.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
22.07.2023 Leganes Leganes 4-1 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
3-0
AWAY Valladolid
2.24 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
251 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes ran out comfortable winners over Valladolid 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Leganes had 44% of the ball to Valladolid's 56%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.24 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leganes and 0.50 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Valladolid?

Leganes 3-0 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leganes 43%, draw 29%, Valladolid 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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