Bayern Münih 8-1 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.58
Over 2.5
67%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
10.15
2-3 Goals
37%
2.62
4-5 Goals
30%
2.29
6+ Goals
16%
3.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.23
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
4%
28.5
X/1
16%
4.25
X/2
2%
34.0
X/X
6%
14.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
19.55
2/2
3%
27.0
2/X
3%
34.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 17% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
82%
-3.1pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.5pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+0.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
18%
+14.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
82%
-14.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
2.83/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.95
+40% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
522 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
41.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.2 Crosses 12.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 0.94
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
556 Passes 302
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-2 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
25.08.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.05.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
20.12.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
05.02.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-4 HT 1-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
14.08.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
8-1
AWAY Wolfsburg
3.30 xG 1.39
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
656 Passes 265
92% Pass Accuracy 78%
47 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih cruised past Wolfsburg 8-1. Half-time: 2-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 68% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 32%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 3.30 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg?

Bayern Münih 8-1 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 79%, draw 13%, Wolfsburg 8%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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