Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayern Münih v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals
Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Bayern Münih
AL1
2-4
HT 1-3
Bayern Münih
AL1
2-0
HT 2-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
2-2
HT 1-2
Bayern Münih
AL1
Bayern Münih 3-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih edged past Wolfsburg 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bayern Münih had 72% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 28%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 3.07 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern Münih's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Wolfsburg.
What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg?
Bayern Münih 3-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 63%, draw 19%, Wolfsburg 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.