Heidenheim 0-2 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Jan 2025

Heidenheim
0-2 HT 0-1
St. Pauli
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.36
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.28
X/2
9%
6.19
X/X
16%
4.57
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.29
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidenheim v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.67/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.45
+53% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.9 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 370
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-2 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
08.04.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
01.10.2022 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
18.03.2022 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
16.10.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-4 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
31.01.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-4 HT 1-2 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

Heidenheim 0-2 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0-2
AWAY St. Pauli
0.66 xG 1.95
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
448 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli saw off Heidenheim 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; St. Pauli found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Heidenheim had 59% of the ball to St. Pauli's 41%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.66 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heidenheim and 1.67 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs St. Pauli?

Heidenheim 0-2 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 40%, draw 30%, St. Pauli 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Heidenheim), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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