Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.78
1/2
9%
23.85
1/X
11%
12.8
X/1
11%
7.02
X/2
18%
5.14
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.64/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.21
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
23.2 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 2.08
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 464
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
02.03.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-4 HT 1-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
07.10.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.03.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
01.10.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
27.02.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
3-3
AWAY RB Leipzig
3.09 xG 2.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
265 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 32
30 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bochum vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and RB Leipzig couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bochum had 45% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.09 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bochum and 1.67 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Bochum vs RB Leipzig?

Bochum 3-3 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bochum 30%, draw 31%, RB Leipzig 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ BTTS Yes
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