US Chantilly 1-3 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
72%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.26
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
2.12
4-5 Goals
18%
2.5
6+ Goals
13%
5.17
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.12 — our 50% vs market 40.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
29.0
1/2
5%
24.0
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
3%
32.5
X/2
13%
3.93
X/X
6%
11.0
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
54%
1.27
2/X
3%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+9.7pp
13%
Draw
12%
+1.8pp
72%
Away Win
84%
-11.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Chantilly EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
Crosses 14.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Chantilly
1-3
AWAY Rennes
0.29 xG 3.29
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 31
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
171 Passes 514
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 57
7 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH US Chantilly vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes saw off US Chantilly 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Chantilly had 31% of the ball to Rennes's 69%, shots finished 4-31, expected goals 0.29 to 3.29.

What was the final score of US Chantilly vs Rennes?

US Chantilly 1-3 Rennes in the France - Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Chantilly vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split US Chantilly 14%, draw 13%, Rennes 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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