Nantes 1-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 11 Jan 2026

Nantes
1-1 HT 0-1
Nice
📅11/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Nantes vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.82
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
10%
7.12
X/2
16%
5.2
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
31.0
2/2
14%
2.96
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.03/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.64
+9% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +39%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.7 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nantes vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
294 Passes 499
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
04.04.2025 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 1-2 Nantes Nantes FR1
20.10.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
31.03.2024 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
02.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
12.03.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1

Nantes 1-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-1
AWAY Nice
1.06 xG 1.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
379 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes and Nice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Nantes had 52% of the ball to Nice's 48%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nantes and 1.00 for Nice.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Nice?

Nantes 1-1 Nice in the France - Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantes 38%, draw 25%, Nice 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nantes), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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