Nice 1-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Sep 2025

Nice
1-0 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.94
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
21%
4.04
X/2
8%
10.95
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
10%
21.95
2/2
8%
8.86
2/X
9%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.07/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.91
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.2 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
515 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 1-2 Nantes Nantes FR1
20.10.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
31.03.2024 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
02.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
12.03.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
23.10.2022 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-0
AWAY Nantes
1.75 xG 0.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
421 Passes 275
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nice vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice nicked a narrow win over Nantes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nice had 59% of the ball to Nantes's 41%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.75 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nice and 1.50 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Nice vs Nantes?

Nice 1-0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nice 57%, draw 23%, Nantes 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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