Auxerre 1-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Sep 2025

Auxerre
1-2 HT 0-1
Monaco
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒22:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.39
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
14%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.32
1/2
8%
18.55
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
10%
10.5
X/2
14%
4.38
X/X
10%
6.79
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.94
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auxerre v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.36/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.01
+16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
16.4 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Auxerre vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Monaco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.20 xG 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
332 Passes 422
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Monaco Monaco 4-2 HT 1-2 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
14.09.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 0-3 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
01.02.2023 Monaco Monaco 3-2 HT 2-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
28.12.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 2-3 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
13.04.2013 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR2
10.11.2012 Monaco Monaco 2-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2

Auxerre 1-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
1-2
AWAY Monaco
0.88 xG 1.42
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
203 Passes 486
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco squeezed past Auxerre 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Auxerre had 33% of the ball to Monaco's 67%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auxerre and 2.83 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Monaco?

Auxerre 1-2 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 25%, draw 26%, Monaco 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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