South China 4-2 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
Over
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
42%
4-5
32%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME South China The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.14
Average Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Great
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yuen Long
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-3 HT 0-2 South China South China HK2
11.05.2025 South China South China 2-3 HT 2-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
03.11.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 South China South China HK2
12.05.2024 South China South China 5-2 HT 3-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
22.10.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
12.02.2023 South China South China 1-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
4 - 2
AWAY Yuen Long
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW South China vs Yuen Long
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

South China got the better of Yuen Long 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: South China had 49% of the ball to Yuen Long's 51%, shots finished 19-9.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for South China and 1.33 for Yuen Long.

South China vs Yuen Long Result & Final Score

South China 4 - 2 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

South China vs Yuen Long Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split South China 69%, draw 16%, Yuen Long 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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