Smouha 1-0 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.38
Over 2.5
42%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
6.56
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
69%
-10.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
31%
+10.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.00
-24% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.30 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
273 Passes 211
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2026 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-1 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSRK
19.09.2025 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
30.10.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-3 HT 1-2 Smouha Smouha MSR
26.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 3-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
01.11.2022 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
28.09.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-0
AWAY Haras El Hodood
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha edged past Haras El Hodood 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Smouha had 51% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Smouha and 0.33 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Haras El Hodood?

Smouha 1-0 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - League Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Smouha 47%, draw 30%, Haras El Hodood 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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