Al Nahda vs Sur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nahda v Sur — Team-Based Signals
Al Nahda vs Sur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Sur
UMMSK
2-3
HT 1-1
Al Nahda
UMM
Al Nahda 4-2 Sur — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nahda beat Sur 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nahda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Nahda had 54% of the ball to Sur's 46%, shots finished 12-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nahda had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nahda and 0.83 for Sur.
What was the final score of Al Nahda vs Sur?
Al Nahda 4-2 Sur in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nahda vs Sur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nahda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Nahda 50%, draw 23%, Sur 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nahda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.