Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.48/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
15.01.2020 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-0
AWAY UD Logrones
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II edged past UD Logrones 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Deportivo Alaves II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 54% of the ball to UD Logrones's 46%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 0.50 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs UD Logrones?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 34%, draw 33%, UD Logrones 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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