11/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Bahçespor vs Nizipspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
18%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
POST-MATCH
Bahçespor vs Nizipspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bahçespor ran out comfortable winners over Nizipspor 4-0.
Our pre-match lean was Nizipspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Bahçespor vs Nizipspor?
Bahçespor 4-0 Nizipspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahçespor vs Nizipspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nizipspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bahçespor 35%, draw 23%, Nizipspor 42%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nizipspor) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nizipspor)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
11 Feb 2024