Eastbourne Borough 3-1 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No Pick
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.8
2-3
38%
1.72
4-5
20%
3.73
6+
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.79/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.23
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 3-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
05.03.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
05.08.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
21.02.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 3-2 HT 1-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
25.10.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
01.02.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough got the better of Hampton & Richmond 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hampton & Richmond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.50 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Hampton & Richmond?

Eastbourne Borough 3-1 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 41%, draw 24%, Hampton & Richmond 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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