Linfield FC 1-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 34% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
8%
3.94
X/2
14%
8.81
X/X
16%
4.54
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
10%
7.76
2/X
6%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +24%
1.61/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.80
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +108%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
22.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
30.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
11.11.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Larne FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Linfield FC and 1.17 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Larne FC?

Linfield FC 1-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 43%, draw 28%, Larne FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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