Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
12%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.49
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
7%
9.99
X/2
21%
4.11
X/X
8%
4.82
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.19
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
0.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.03
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
19.8 Crosses 17.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.57 xG 2.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
304 Passes 499
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 8-0 HT 3-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
07.04.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
08.12.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-2 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
25.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
24.08.2018 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
15.04.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
1-2
AWAY Flamengo
1.65 xG 0.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
247 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vitoria had 44% of the ball to Flamengo's 56%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.52 — on chances, Vitoria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 2.83 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 21%, draw 24%, Flamengo 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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